Jet fuel shortage sparks chaos warnings for half-term holidays at European airports

European airports warn of potential chaos during half-term holidays due to looming jet fuel shortages, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and rising fuel prices. The concern highlights the fragile state of global fuel supplies and the impact of international conflicts on European travel and tourism.

Airports Council International (ACI) Europe, representing over 600 airports across 55 countries, issued a stark warning in a letter to the European Commission. The group emphasized that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, a critical maritime chokepoint through which a significant portion of the world’s jet fuel passes, European airports could face “systemic” fuel shortages within just three weeks. Such shortages could have dire consequences, including widespread flight delays, cancellations, and economic disruptions affecting millions of travelers and the broader tourism industry.

The Strait of Hormuz, located between Iran and Oman, is a vital conduit for global oil and fuel shipments. Its closure—whether due to military conflict, political tensions, or other disruptions—can severely restrict the flow of oil and jet fuel, pushing prices higher. Currently, with the escalation of military activity and geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran, fuel supplies are under strain. The European industry fears that prolonged closure could make it difficult for airports to secure enough fuel for the busy summer season.

Fuel shortages are already impacting prices. The cost of crude oil has surged, with barrel prices nearing $100. This spike is largely attributed to the Gulf region’s limited supply chain capacity and the uncertainty over the Strait’s reopening. As a result, airlines face increased operational costs, which are likely to be passed on to consumers through higher fares. Ryanair, Europe’s largest low-cost carrier, has publicly warned travelers to book flights early to lock in prices and avoid expected fare hikes later in the season.

A Ryanair spokesperson explained, “While we do not expect immediate fuel shortages, the situation remains fluid. Our suppliers currently guarantee supply until mid to late May, but if the Strait remains closed into June, some airports could face risks of fuel shortages.” They also noted that jet fuel prices have doubled since March, which will inevitably lead to higher airfares and holiday costs for travelers after Easter and during summer.

The European airports industry is particularly anxious about the upcoming holiday season, a peak travel period that supports a vast tourism ecosystem. The group called on EU policymakers to take urgent action, including temporarily lifting import restrictions on jet fuel. Currently, these restrictions discourage some international fuel suppliers from entering into supply contracts for the upcoming summer, exacerbating the risk of shortages.

According to a study by ACI Europe, air connectivity contributes approximately €851 billion (£741 billion) annually to European GDP and sustains around 14 million jobs. Disruptions in fuel supply and subsequent flight cancellations could have ripple effects across the economy, affecting employment, tourism, and broader economic stability.

As Europe prepares for the busy half-term holidays, the looming threat of fuel shortages underscores the importance of geopolitical stability and proactive policy measures. The European Commission and member states are urged to monitor the situation closely and consider measures to ensure the resilience of the aviation fuel supply chain. Without swift action, the European travel industry faces a turbulent summer, with potential knock-on effects felt across the continent’s economy.